Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.630580 4.990862 5.385688 5.854402 6.400974 7.025077 7.801966
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.199479 4.673760 5.225727 5.928212 6.818340 7.939070 9.512477
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.882299 4.431820 5.103340 6.010471 7.250464 8.969775 11.722718
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.707380 4.336677 5.143521 6.302755 8.025361 10.706072 15.833776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.382238 4.015035 4.850692 6.099698 8.063629 11.389146 18.763242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.225495 3.897704 4.818211 6.265006 8.718920 13.415476 26.784810
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.067007 3.762011 4.743707 6.357117 9.295333 15.676858 40.731477
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.861537 3.542705 4.523802 6.183506 9.355266 16.916767 57.081717
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.667283 3.324664 4.285197 5.945790 9.240251 17.724580 79.782264
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.626948 3.325713 4.381368 6.303724 10.493746 23.897978 857.750465
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.659922 3.437910 4.667794 7.079851 13.170972 43.251379 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.569477 3.353233 4.619205 7.195034 14.238513 61.892320 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.424074 3.187089 4.440384 7.066389 14.746131 88.078395 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.301752 3.049021 4.297544 6.994708 15.486652 153.899983 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.196749 2.931413 4.179775 6.961521 16.443706 466.968501 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.135669 2.881040 4.179957 7.215981 19.033580 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.012480 2.718962 3.954467 6.862090 18.410328 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.951044 2.656848 3.914331 6.983869 20.639901 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.886721 2.585367 3.848726 7.026476 22.668535 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.799663 2.469679 3.685508 6.765650 22.316452 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.713883 2.352145 3.510564 6.446379 21.288611 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.696198 2.351682 3.570873 6.823445 26.879596 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.711861 2.410845 3.761809 7.684595 44.360892 NaN NaN